fieldnotesIntuition behind the PosteriorWe can estimate the posterior even BEFORE calculating it.Jul 25, 2022Jul 25, 2022

fieldnotesThe Deal with the DenominatorThe denominator of Bayes Rule is arguably the most important part of the formula.Jul 25, 2021Jul 25, 2021

fieldnotesUninformative Priors, Informative PriorsTwo more types of priors are uninformative and informative priors.Jun 20, 2021Jun 20, 2021

fieldnotesPrior and Likelihood Influence (a visualization)Let’s use a Bayes Box to illustrate how priors and likelihoods affect the shape of the corresponding posterior distributions!Jun 20, 2021Jun 20, 2021

fieldnotesFlat PriorsIn the fashion where a mathematical proof introduces a base case as the first example, we will do this for priors as well.Jun 20, 2021Jun 20, 2021

fieldnotesPriors : Initial BeliefsIn this post, we will be introducing the likelihood’s neighbor:Jun 16, 2021Jun 16, 2021

fieldnotesBruno de Finetti and ExchangeabilityYou may recall that likelihoods are constructed from the product of many individual likelihoods.Jun 13, 2021Jun 13, 2021

fieldnotesEquivalence (Likelihoods)There are many equivalence relations you might come across in your own mathematical journeys, but there is one particularly useful one…Jun 13, 2021Jun 13, 2021

fieldnotesLittle bit of Likelihoods: a more Analytical ApproachFor those of you who would prefer a more mapped out relationship between probability distributions and likelihoods, please refer to the map…May 31, 2021May 31, 2021